Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 6.961860 7.867799 8.862434 10.038013 11.392722 12.908659 14.738723
2024-12-15 5.669622 6.860401 8.272419 10.079992 12.346313 15.111828 18.769500
2024-12-22 4.795500 6.106583 7.754103 9.996127 12.997961 16.921111 22.506818
2024-12-29 4.376848 5.816576 7.716292 10.439956 14.299697 19.656805 27.802110
2025-01-05 3.912011 5.383891 7.405753 10.433301 14.933921 21.509369 32.091865
2025-01-12 3.518582 4.990923 7.085257 10.343014 15.395176 23.122807 36.216277
2025-01-19 3.053644 4.439388 6.467660 9.723331 14.953176 23.266602 37.981526
2025-01-26 2.829669 4.217162 6.307563 9.772158 15.542606 25.088734 42.776143
2025-02-02 2.702376 4.126129 6.332731 10.107253 16.623989 27.844572 49.620187
2025-02-09 2.559830 3.995242 6.277969 10.297405 17.471228 30.291849 56.281059
2025-02-16 2.422508 3.858597 6.197736 10.429569 18.222373 32.650333 63.145729
2025-02-23 2.296261 3.727940 6.113023 10.540019 18.938743 35.025253 70.430994
2025-03-02 2.114552 3.492538 5.835457 10.286855 18.965451 36.116419 75.314078
2025-03-09 1.982541 3.331869 5.673883 10.230460 19.365666 38.010620 82.324319
2025-03-16 1.855733 3.169680 5.494714 10.120348 19.642126 39.681892 89.135754
2025-03-23 1.817650 3.162733 5.596168 10.563826 21.108103 44.111184 103.454951
2025-03-30 1.722839 3.043972 5.478287 10.555410 21.612210 46.474599 113.084046
2025-04-06 1.626089 2.913979 5.327724 10.463510 21.920247 48.427539 122.040069
2025-04-13 1.475127 2.670598 4.938854 9.835602 20.952392 47.216996 122.115601
2025-04-20 1.412788 2.593273 4.870679 9.885040 21.544611 49.893759 133.753754
2025-04-27 1.385528 2.582119 4.933344 10.224512 22.860125 54.587076 152.409491
2025-05-04 1.344598 2.540658 4.930481 10.417159 23.845373 58.583558 169.924057
2025-05-11 1.300510 2.489556 4.903256 10.551061 24.701569 62.372923 187.737425